Saturday, March 15, 2025

Charlie Munger's Wells Fargo Investment in 2008 crisis

 During the 2008 financial crisis, Wells Fargo's stock price experienced significant fluctuations:

  • 52-Week High: Approximately $38.90 per share.
  • 52-Week Low: Approximately $7.80 per share.

Charlie Munger, serving as chairman of the Daily Journal Corporation, made a strategic investment in Wells Fargo during this tumultuous period:

  • Investment Amount: Approximately $20 million, sourced from Treasury bonds.
  • Acquisition Price: Shares were purchased at around $7 per share, totaling just under 1.6 million shares.

This bold move reflected Munger's confidence in Wells Fargo's resilience and long-term prospects.

Two Years Later:

By 2010, Wells Fargo's stock price had rebounded significantly:

  • Stock Price: Approximately $30 per share, marking a substantial recovery from the lows experienced during the crisis.

This period underscored Munger's investment acumen and belief in the enduring value of well-managed financial institutions.

Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) PB Value Chart - WFC Stock PB Value History

In feb 2009 its valuation dropped to 0.82 and in Mar 2009 it was trading at 1.44 time PBV. 2006 high was 2.8.

 # Wells Fargo maintained a stockholders' equity to assets ratio of 8.28% in 2007

Net Profits

  • 2007:

  • 2008:

    • Net Income: Approximately $2.66 billion, a significant decrease attributed to the financial crisis and the acquisition of Wachovia.
  • 2009:

    • Net Income: Approximately $12.28 billion, indicating a strong recovery post-crisis.

Market Capitalization

During the 2008 financial crisis, Wells Fargo was caught in a storm of problems, some real and some rumored. Here are some of the biggest concerns investors had at that time:

1. Exposure to Subprime Mortgages

  • While Wells Fargo was seen as more conservative than other banks, it still had exposure to the collapsing subprime mortgage market.
  • Investors feared massive loan defaults and potential write-downs on its mortgage portfolio.

2. Wachovia Acquisition Risks (2008)

  • Wells Fargo acquired Wachovia Bank in late 2008, which had a huge portfolio of risky "Pick-a-Pay" mortgages (loans that allowed borrowers to skip payments).
  • There were concerns that these bad loans could drag Wells Fargo down and result in major losses.

3. Liquidity and Capital Adequacy Concerns

  • As the crisis unfolded, many feared that Wells Fargo did not have enough capital to survive the downturn.
  • Investors worried it might need a government bailout or be forced to raise capital at distressed prices.

4. Dividend Cut and Stock Dilution

  • Wells Fargo was known for its steady dividends, but in March 2009, it was forced to cut its dividend by 85% (from $0.34 to $0.05 per share).
  • The bank also raised capital through a stock issuance, diluting existing shareholders.

5. General Banking Sector Panic

  • Lehman Brothers collapsed, and other major banks like Citigroup and Bank of America were struggling.
  • Investors feared systemic risk, meaning that even relatively strong banks like Wells Fargo could be pulled under.

Market Sentiment at the Time

  • Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger saw past the panic, realizing that Wells Fargo was not as reckless as other banks.
  • When the stock collapsed to around $7-$9 per share, Munger bet heavily on its long-term survival.

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